Unitech : Realty Check

In its balance sheet for the year to March 2008, the Unitech management has sounded a cautionary note. “It is quite clear that after a fairly long bull run, the real estate sector in India has begun to show signs of slowing down to a more realistic equilibrium rate of growth.

The first signs of market slackening were evident in the second half of FY08. The correction has become more pronounced thereafter. In the June 2008 quarter, revenues for the developer were up a somewhat disappointing 19 per cent to Rs 1000 crore y-o-y although the operating profit margin improved 114 basis points y-o-y to 59 per cent due to increased contribution from the residential segment. The profit after tax was pushed up by lower outflows on interest and a lower provisioning for tax.

The company has been able to rope in an investor for a project being executed by Shivalik Ventures—-a joint venture between Unitech and local Mumbai developers. Lehman Brothers Real Estate will invest Rs 740 crore for a 50 per cent stake in the first phase of the project to develop one million square feet in Mumbai.

The inflows should help ease Unitech’s cash flows —- the company’s gross debt is estimated at around Rs 8,600 crore and analysts estimate that the average cost of the debt should be about 12 per cent. Outflows on interest had increased to Rs 280 crore in FY08 from Rs 120 crore in the previous year. It is believed that a couple of the firm’s projects in Chennai and Hyderabad may have been pushed back because of delays in approvals.

The firm has a strong presence in the eastern and northern parts of the country and residential projects account for close to 75 per cent of its land bank. Of the approximately 55 million sq feet under construction currently, about 30 million sq ft is in the residential segment. Analysts estimate the net asset value of the firm at around Rs 200 per share for FY 10. The stock currently trades at Rs 165.

Sourced from Business Standard